On Apr 16, 2005 the Zetas stated that a pandemic from the H5N1 strain of bird flu, caused by human to human transmission, would not occur as the Earth changes would interfer with travel and make a pandemic improbable.
- To those who fear being poisoned or contained in camps, we would point to the Earth changes, which will overtake those in power long before any planned pandemic can be initiated. Germs will be contained by disaster.
- ZetaTalk: Pandemic Threats, writen Apr 16, 2005
On May 23, 2006 scientists confirmed that even though human to human transmission had most certainly occurred, no pandemic had resulted.
- Seven Indonesian Bird Flu Cases Linked to Patients
Bloomberg May 23, 2006
- All seven people infected with bird flu in a cluster of Indonesian cases can be linked to other patients, according to disease trackers investigating possible human-to-human transmission of the H5N1 virus. A team of international experts has been unable to find animals that might have infected the people, the World Health Organization said in a statement today. In one case, a 10-year- old boy who caught the virus from his aunt may have passed it to his father, the first time officials have seen evidence of a three-person chain of infection, an agency spokeswoman said. Six of the seven people have died. Almost all of the 218 cases of H5N1 infections confirmed by the WHO since late 2003 can be traced to direct contact with sick or dead birds. Strong evidence of human-to-human transmission may prompt the global health agency to convene a panel of experts and consider raising the pandemic alert level, said Maria Cheng, an agency spokeswoman.
The 32-year-old father in the cluster of cases on the island of Sumatra was `closely involved in caring for his son, and this contact is considered a possible source of infection. Three others, including the sole survivor in the group, spent a night in a small room with the boy's aunt, who later died and was buried before health officials could conduct tests for the H5N1 virus. All confirmed cases in the cluster can be directly linked to close and prolonged exposure to a patient during a phase of severe illness. While investigators have been unable to rule out human-to-human transmission in the Sumatran cluster, they continue to search for other explanations for how the infections arose. Health experts are concerned that if H5N1 gains the ability to spread easily among people, it may set off a lethal global outbreak of flu. While some flu pandemics are relatively mild, the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic killed an estimated 50 million people worldwide.
So far, studies of the Sumatran outbreak and genetic analyses of the virus don't indicate the virus has undergone major changes. Scientists at WHO-affiliated labs in the U.S. and Hong Kong found no evidence that the Indonesian strain of H5N1 has gained genes from pigs or humans that might change its power or spreading ability. Health officials earlier found strong evidence of direct human-to-human spread of H5N1 in Thailand in 2004. Scientists reported in the Jan. 27, 2005, issue of the New England Journal of Medicine that the H5N1 virus probably spread from an 11-year- old girl in Thailand to her aunt and mother, killing the mother and daughter. People who had more casual contact with the girl didn't become infected. In the Sumatran cluster, close, direct contact with a severely ill person was also needed for spread. Preliminary findings from the investigation indicate that the woman who died, considered to be the initial case, was coughing frequently while the three others spent the night in the same room. One of the three, a second brother, is the sole survivor. The other two, her sons, died.